@phdthesis{75320, author = {F. Lalaurette and G. van der Grijn}, title = {Ensemble forecasts: can they provide useful early warnings?}, year = {2003}, journal = {Seminar on Predictability of weather and climate, 9-13 September 2002}, pages = {207-218}, month = {2003}, publisher = {ECMWF}, address = {Shinfield Park, Reading}, language = {eng}, }