Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles

Title
Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convection and Propagation in the ECMWF IFS Stochastic Ensembles
Poster
Date Published
2016
Event
ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty
Author
Shuyi Chen
Hannah Christensen
Brandon Kerns
Abstract

The goals of this study are to:

  • better understand and predict MJO convective initiation and eastward propagation over the Indian-Pacific warm pool
  • better understand predictability and model uncertainty in the MJO forecasts
Keywords
workshop
model uncertainty
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